The possibility of successfully navigating the Ivy League is greater than the possibility of successfully navigating an asteroid field, Captain Solo.
A friend sent me a spreadsheet this morning including all 42 possible outcomes (22 decided in the regular season, 20 decided with a playoff) for Princeton and Harvard's remaining games.
Using Ken Pomeroy's predictive model, Princeton is at 50% to win the league outright.
The chance of a one game playoff for the NCAA bid is 36%.
See a full table of games and scenarios after the jump.
The most "likely" regular season scenario is both Harvard and Princeton sweeping their remaining five combined contests. There's a 29.3% chance of that.
Overall chances of winning the automatic bid, playoffs included: Princeton 70%, Harvard 30%.
A playoff would favor the Tigers by 56%.
Pomeroy's odds for the five remaining regular season games involving the Crimson or Tigers:
Princeton over Yale (68%)
Princeton over Brown (75%)
Princeton over Penn (76%)
Harvard over Columbia (83%)
Harvard over Cornell (91%)
By all means click to enlarge.
